GOLD Prediction for 2026
Gold prices started their journey in 2025 from 2600 odd levels. It tested nearly 4400$ before giving mild reversal of 10%. Gold prices many reasons to boost the average prices in 2025. Fed have started cutting rate 1st time since Pandemic 2020. Fed is cutting rate since September 2024 and it has cut rate 6 times since September 2024 ( Dec included ). This gave Gold prices major boost as yellow metal tend to rise when interest rate falls and it tends to crash when interest rate rises.
However 2025 was an extremely turbulent year for world markets. President Trump unleashed uncertainty since he joined the office in January 2025. 1st he imposed never before tariffs on entire world. Sending world into chaos and giving gold its fuel ( uncertainty ). Then he starts daily basis statements regarding tariffs since April to June. Almost every day we have seen statements from Trump or White house regarding new deals and new tariffs.
China played extremely different game altogether this year. This could be the landmark year in history of the world when China retaliate tariff instead just gulping tariffs. China retaliate every single time and we had extreme chaos in financial markets which gave gold prices extra bump. Trump had to tone down his demeanor towards China in order to calm the markets. Many U turns were being orchestrated by White house in 2025.
1st NVIDIA was not allowed to sell highest grade AI chips to China. By December 2025 US lifted the restrictions and now China don’t want those chips without approvals. This year could be the one where we would read in history regarding US and China rivalry.
Russia and Ukraine ceasefire also collapsed despite Trump’s best efforts. 1st Russia then Ukraine rejected his peace plan.
Trump finally achieved ceasefire in GAZA. Which gave a breather to gold prices in Oct – November.
In 2026 I am not expecting the turbulent of 2025. I guess 2025 could be the most volatile year of in many trader’s lifetime. 2025 taught some very hard lessons which wouldn’t be otherwise taught to traders.
Gold price trading now at 4216 after a 25 bps rate cut last night. Federal Reserve chairman delivered note and gave new term to market. STAGFLATION , But I disagree we are in stagflation.
Gold prices might find a great psychological support at 4000$. Once we starts giving 2-3 close below $4000 we may see much needed downside upto 3900-3600$ in gold prices. However US jobs markets may require more rate cut as full potential of AI and tariffs are still to be seen. So a new all time high may occur but the force behind in gold prices may die down in 2026.
I will be keep updating on my YOUTUBE CHANNEL in 2026 as well. So make sure you subscribe for daily videos with subtitles.